Forex/Futures ST for Week 11/11 - 11/16

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 02:10 AM

Sorry for the late start ... our place actually observes the Vet's Day along with all the schools, so had to take care of the kids since the wife's place doesn't. Day job is also very busy right after a long weekend.

There is really nothing much to say so far since our last claim that a bottom is close on Fri ... and I believe we are still building the bottom. Apparently news won't allow a breakout yet because both parties are holding their lines before they actually start the grand bargain ... I think these are the usual politics. And you have to be patient if you want to buy dip, especially with futures.

However Europe is still a major concern for me ... even Greece gets its $40 billion this time, which I shall remind you that the announcement date is Nov 20. So it's still one week away.

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 02:12 AM

Let's start from the most bullish risk assets first ... AUD is still holding its pattern well and is above the breakout line ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 02:13 AM

GOLD is not that bad either in the last bear attack ... but if you want to bet a breakout the risk/reward is about 1:1 only, so don't recommend taking ... waiting for the bigger bottom to form and break out.

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 02:15 AM

CRUDE has been fine without further breeding ... may the previous slide is too much ... HO HO HO!

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 02:17 AM

stocks are only better than EURO ... suggest staying away ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 02:18 AM

Not sure a bottom in EURO is in or not ... need to wait for another day ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 02:20 AM

On the other hand, bonds ZN/ZF have both reached the targets ... ZB not yet ... All are consolidating below the previous highs ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 02:25 AM

So far I'm not sure whether bonds are going to make new highs, though they are not that bearish.

bucks · 发表于 2012-11-14 05:51 AM

austinjoe · 发表于 2012-11-14 07:23 AM

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 03:35 PM

Not good, set to clear all leveraged positions ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 03:41 PM

本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-11-14 11:20 PM 编辑

At EOD:

In the unleveraged account: 1/4 SPX fund remaining, and 3/4 in PIMCO Total Return fund.
In the leveraged account: 1/4 Cash, and 3/4 in PIMCO Income fund.
In the futures account: All cash.

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-14 03:49 PM

greenback 发表于 2012-11-14 04:41 PM
At EOD:

In the unleveraged account: SPX fund remaining, and 3/4 in PIMCO Total Return fund.

So in the end the dip buying in leveraged account was not successful ...

Fortunately only 1/4 fund was used to try the luck and we didn't do this in the futures account.

MFTHT · 发表于 2012-11-14 05:33 PM

greenback 发表于 2012-11-14 04:49 PM
So in the end the dip buying in leveraged account was not successful ...

Fortunately only 1/4 ...

原以为这附近会有一个像样的反弹，但今天竟然加速下跌了。这个位置俺不敢追空，板凳看戏。

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-15 06:04 PM

Too bad for bulls betting risk assets.

Even the most bullish AUD broke down. So it's really time to take a rest in betting bullish.

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-15 06:05 PM

The good news is that CL has not made new low ... though doesn't look like it wants to break out any time soon.

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-15 06:05 PM

GC can still be viewed as not being bearish.

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-15 06:06 PM

EURO is retesting the neckline ...

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-15 06:07 PM

May see a rebound in stocks: Note that TF has virtually revisited the previous low.

greenback · 发表于 2012-11-15 06:07 PM

ES may test 1340 next ...

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