Forex/Futures ST for Week 10/07 - 10/12

greenback

Sorry for the late start ... Sun evening is always busy.

Anyway, the down leg from last Fri is still going, let's see whether FOREX can tell us any hints first ...

EUR has pulled back to the breakout level, sort of a key time for bulls ... Will ESM work as planned? Will Spain finally agree for a rescue so ECB can buy its bonds?

greenback

AUD has reached the 100% downward target ... let's wait for a double bottom to confirm the selloff is over ...

greenback

Bonds have recovered well, but they are under key S/R levels, still can't resume a bullish view on their actions.

greenback

CL might have bottomed after the three pushdown pattern ...

greenback

GC is still holding well, so long GC is safer than long ES ...

greenback

ES is so far so good ... at least above the breakout level.

However TF failed to break out, in fact it might have failed to retest the previous high since Fri's spike nicely touched the dark 0% fibo, which is the peak in the spring ...

RedBean

Thank you! out aud, wait for 老大 double bottom confirm to get in again!

greenback

RedBean 发表于 2012-10-8 03:20 PM
Thank you! out aud, wait for 老大 double bottom confirm to get in again!

Good luck!

austinjoe

Thanks. Did you put the wrong CL chart? It's still 10/01/2012?

greenback

austinjoe 发表于 2012-10-8 03:31 PM
Thanks. Did you put the wrong CL chart? It's still 10/01/2012?

You are right ... will update later ...

greenback

austinjoe 发表于 2012-10-8 03:31 PM
Thanks. Did you put the wrong CL chart? It's still 10/01/2012?

Okay, it's done ... check it out ...

源济

MFTHT

greenback 发表于 2012-10-8 01:55 PM
ES is so far so good ... at least above the breakout level.

However TF failed to break out, in fa ...

看到这个"ES is so far so good ..."俺就放心了。俺也觉得今天是突破后的回测，牛牛的短期图形还不算坏。看明天吧。

austinjoe

greenback 发表于 2012-10-8 01:49 PM
Okay, it's done ... check it out ...

thx

MFTHT

两个星期前就有不好的ER预期，但牛牛还是辛辛苦苦的爬到这里，感觉要破早就破了，不会等到现在。

MFTHT

MFTHT 发表于 2012-10-9 09:19 AM
两个星期前就有不好的ER预期，但牛牛还是辛辛苦苦的爬到这里，感觉要破早就破了，不会等到现在。

wk. 说着话就下破了，我的ES浪1440出手了， 赔10pts. 刚刚又空在1440，止损1452，目标1410附近. 希望不要被MM两边抽。
这可能是短期第一次pushdown, 后面可能还有两次？

军师V5!

MFTHT

牛牛在打盹儿。

MFTHT

SPX的通道不太一样，看来ES在1424附近会有反弹。

greenback

MFTHT 发表于 2012-10-9 09:36 PM
SPX的通道不太一样，看来ES在1424附近会有反弹。

I also think this time it's a bit different ... we may see a rebound soon ...

greenback

Well, again too busy with my day job, no time to watch the market.

Finally bears did a very good job. Let's take a look of the actions of different assets to see what's going on.