跟踪：Eliades New TRIN

ctcld

３／６我根据Eliades New TRIN给出的信号，指出此时此刻，该买而不该烧。时隔六天，可以验证一下这个信号。
http://www.hutong9.net/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=162768


“Eliades New TRIN: Developed by Peter Eliades of Stock Market Cycles, the New TRIN is a further development of his Open TRIN system. The New TRIN combines the best features of the Open TRIN system and the original Arms Index.  It also has a good reputation for giving fairly reliable short-term sell signals.  The rule of thumb is that a move from below .80 to above .80 signals that selling is likely within the next few days.  These observations, though, are based on applying the New TRIN to NYSE daily volume data.  In applying the NewTRIN to total market volume (we include volume totals for the NYSE, AMEX and NASDAQ Comp in our calculations) our observation has been that lows in the .65-.70 area are sell signals, and highs in the .90-1.00 area are potential buy signals.  Note that we also invert the scale to parallel highs and lows in price.”

ctcld

反岛型的确很强。如果周三熊熊还不能向下突破，得考虑卡窝睡觉了。

ctcld

Eliades New TRIN和ADRO有很多相似点

The Advance/Decline Ratio Oscillator (ADRO) is a variation on advance/decline data studies in that it is a) less concerned with daily changes advancers against decliners, b) excludes upside and downside volume, and 3) accounts for total market volume beyond the NYSE.   The ADRO is mainly interested in trend, based on the daily ratio of advancers against decliners.  Therefore, it doesn't really matter how heavy or light volume may be on a given day; what matters is the ratio of up stocks to down stocks, and the ratio between them.  This allows for some consistency in studying the patterns.  

A/D data has a strong sentiment connection, in that it allows us to quantify stocks up v.s. stocks down.  The ratio is about as close as you can get to applying a Put/Call methodology to stocks.  In developing the ADRO, I studied several years of A/D data, and the one persistent pattern has been the tendency for near-to-intermediate tops to follow when the indicator is above 4.00, and near-to-intermediate bottoms to follow when the indicator is at -2.00 or below.  Tops and bottoms have been signaled either well ahead of the market, or at the same time.

Kami

我还等着看能不能在136左右再捞一把，就不知道还会不会回来补那个空。如果补空，拉起，将会是个上升三角，而且调整时间也长一些，向上的潜力更大。

Kami

Bencat

interesting!  

西门吹雪

licai5688

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