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[讨论] Statistics of SPX Close and its 200sma

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发表于 2011-12-31 06:58 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


本帖最后由 silicon_beaver 于 2011-12-31 22:36 编辑

spx_2011.png

Closed 1257.60, slightly under 200sma (1258.82)
Started 1257.64. Hence, SPX almost no change in year 2011.

  • Supports marked by blue-lines.
  • Resistances marked by red-lines.
  • The chart shows the resistances are still there but the supports rise quickly (previous 6-m chart).


Below is Statistics of SPX Close and its 200sma.

It's an update of 过去几年中,SPX在200天均线下面的时间 , I added specific summary for Year 2011.
From 08/08/2011 (SP500 downgrade), total 6 days above 200sma, 100 days below 200sma. Market looked bearish.
Prior to 08/08/2011, SPX was above 200sma consecutive 224 days (from 09/13/2010 to 08/01/2011, read data table please).

Statistics of SPX Year 2011


+: above
 -:  under


Statistics of SPX all years (from 1950 to 2011 per yahoo data)


Frequency: Times of occurrence.
For example, occurrence of 10 days below 200sma (-10) happened five (5) times.
发表于 2011-12-31 07:32 PM | 显示全部楼层
what kind of distribution would it be?
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 楼主| 发表于 2011-12-31 09:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
Pareto per Frequency

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发表于 2011-12-31 11:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-1-2 04:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-1-2 06:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
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