周末报告：还要上。

ctcld

今天SPX刚出水，受XMAS RALLY心理魔力驱动，下周股市还要上行。如果说节前的股市是被拉动，节后的股市是被推动，推动当然要比拉动省力，力量来自牛熊群众。

最近欧央的QE和美国的经济数据改善支持XMAS RALLY。

21天的TRIN图已有向上突破的意愿。CM说了，新年后如能保持这一势头，才能算数，我举双手赞成。今后的波动系数仍将很大。







下周去NYC，预祝乡亲乡里节日愉快，龙年多抱



这里和新人一起学问一下：
Arms Index/TRIN: This is one of the most widely used volume indicators, developed by technician Richard Arms in the 1970s. The Arms Index relates daily advances and declines to daily upside/downside volume. The general rule-of-thumb for interpreting the chart are that readings below 1.0 are considered bullish.  Readings in the .70-.80 range are considered extremely bullish and warn of overbought conditions.  Conversely, readings above 1.0 are considered bearish, and readings above 1.35 are alerts to oversold conditions and potential reversal to the upside.  There are a few variations on the original Arms Index.  We plot the traditional Arms for the long-term analysis, using an 89 day moving average, as Mr. Arms suggests.  Additionally, we plot 55 and 21 day Arms TRIN charts for comparison.  Note that we plot the chart data inversely, so that it parallels market action.

就上图而言, 为了显示TRIN和大市指数的一致性，CHART是倒置的。目前的位置到了短期牛熊的分水岭。

Relative Upside/Downside Volume Oscillator: Developed at Market Harmonics.com, the Relative Upside/Downside Volume Oscillator is a short-term Rate-of-Change indicator based on our Market Participation Index (see above). The indicator was designed to give short-term buy/sell signals, based on zero line crossovers.  Like all such ROC oscillators, the further from the zero line, the greater the chances of reversal.  The Relative Upside/Downside Volume Oscillator is very sensitive, and upward movements are associated with buying, and downward with selling.  Technically, any downward move in the indicator line should be an alert that sellers are coming into the market, even if for a brief period.  Crosses of the zero line, and their distance from it, help indicate the maturity of the buy/sell trend.  Used in combination with the New TRIN and other technical indicators, the Relative Upside/Downside Volume Oscillator can be a very handy trading tool.

cartier

silicon_beaver

fortune1212

dsp

Thanks.

Happyforever

源济

Fan8an

sycamores

whzdf

Ed02

aimei

Merry Xmas

oldpigwang

BBBBBBBBBBBBBcareful!
Spx daily chart MACD show nagetive divergency.
这个可不是闹着玩的。

oldpigwang

回复 oldpigwang 的帖子


回复：ctcld 点评： 你贴张图，也好让我们学习一下  发表于 2011-12-24 11:27

Any Chart show the same ND.

By the way, 1600 no hope，definitely.

NYQ

   

After a carefully rethinking about the ES chart, now I proundly announce that I finally sided with ctcld LaoDa. The upswing is not over yet.

wnd4

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

hunting

学友老大圣诞节快乐，，

acoust

cat2011

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

George25

Merry Christmas and happy new year!