It is time again

silicon_beaver

In recent months, breaking up 200MA was a sign of pullback.
VIX is at 5-month low. Eight consecutive red in last ten days.

silicon_beaver

started to load TZA, which at its historical low.

silicon_beaver

This rally approaches its end. RSI and MACD don't support (no new high so far).

btw, VIX closed hollow red bar. 81% chance next day SPX goes red.

donalan

Fan8an

今天$37.80买了TWM, 保护一下TNA.

mjmj

fourth would be different

curiosity2009

xz214

dsp

sycamores

greenback

silicon_beaver 发表于 2011-12-22 22:35
In recent months, breaking up 200MA was a sign of pullback.
VIX is at 5-month low. Eight consec ...

Sorry, what if VIX keeps going down? Indeed, it's oversold, but it can stay oversold in a trending phase for a long time ...

silicon_beaver

greenback 发表于 2011-12-22 21:06
Sorry, what if VIX keeps going down? Indeed, it's oversold, but it can stay oversold in a trending ...

There is a chance that VIX stays at low for a while. then SPX can play "6 out  of 7 days" rally. Cobra so far doesn't mention this evil plan.

So far, hollow VIX ticker at bottom happened 32 times; 26 times (81.25%), next day red; 6 times (18.75%), next went green;

Below I listed the six "green" events

6/11/2009, vix=28 (other five cases vix <21.2)
6/1/2007
4/16/2007
8/10/2005
12/29/2004
1/30/2004

bokchoy888

smartll

will stay in triangle for a few days....then decide.

WKN

NYQ

丛林法则

break it.......

dosman

回复 silicon_beaver 的帖子

同意，但 ACC/DIS 图形还不够sure。再等一两天。。

ysc

Ed02