09/08/2011 Market Outlook (Bull Flag within Bear Flag)

Cobra · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:12 PM

SHORT-TERM: IN WAIT AND SEE MODE

今天没有啥好说的，所以Trading Signals就免了吧。大家都在等晚上OB的讲话，大盘如何反映，无法知道。单从图上看：

大方向还是09/07 Market Outlook的说法，在没有decisively breakout Aug 31 highs之前，这是个3 push up，或者是说Bear Flag。特别注意下图的红字说明，明天如果跌破tinted area，那么基本可以确定牛牛已经没有力气了，反弹一次比一次弱，否则还要继续等待。

短期，看着像是Bull Flag，加上过去ChiOsc的pattern，因此不能排除至少还有一攻的可能性。那么，为什么我至今还顽固地坚持最终会掉下来的预测呢，这个在09/02 Market Outlook里应该交代清楚了，此外09/06 Market Outlook里的统计，也说明最终是要掉下来的。

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX DOWNSIDE TARGET IS 1,000, THE CORRECTION COULD LAST 1 TO 2 MONTHS

See 08/19 Market Outlook for more details.

SEASONALITY: BEARISH SEPTEMBER

See 09/02 Market Outlook for September seasonality.

SUMMARY OF SIGNALS FOR MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:

	TREND	MOMENTUM	COMMENT
Long-term	3 of 3 SELL
Intermediate	4 of 5 BUY	5 of 5 NEUTRAL	Cobra Impulse in BUY mode; Non-Stop in BUY mode.
Short-term	DOWN	6 of 6 NEUTRAL

	TREND	COMMENT
QQQ & Weekly	DOWN
IWM & Weekly	DOWN
SSEC & Weekly	DOWN	4.1.4 Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (Weekly): Long term support broken.
XIU & Weekly	DOWN
DAX & Weekly	DOWN
TLT & Weekly	UP
UUP & Weekly	DOWN
GLD & Weekly	UP
USO & Weekly	DOWN

* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

dsp · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:13 PM

thanks.

ysc · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:14 PM

stonehorse · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:15 PM

源济 · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:16 PM

ysc · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:17 PM

本帖最后由 ysc 于 2011-9-8 16:18 编辑

"特别注意下图的红字说明，明天如果跌破tinted area，那么基本可以确定牛牛已经没有力气了"

Laoda, the low end of the tinted area is around 1150. It is 35 pt away. Does it have to be tomorrow to define 牛牛没有力气?

IMeMyself · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:19 PM

weigoodone01 · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:21 PM

sc168 · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:22 PM

Thanks.

silkway · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:23 PM

shoujie · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:25 PM

本帖最后由 shoujie 于 2011-9-8 16:26 编辑

今天很快就有报告了。。。。

Cobra · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:27 PM

ysc 发表于 2011-9-8 17:17
"特别注意下图的红字说明，明天如果跌破tinted area，那么基本可以确定牛牛已经没有力气了"

Laoda, the ...

明天跌不破，就要等下周了。

dudu · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:31 PM

americanpancake · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:32 PM

MtlJaysFan · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:41 PM

This early today!
Thanks for the always insightful updates, Cobra

tonyshen · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:42 PM

xz214 · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:42 PM

greenback · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:44 PM

Bencat · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:45 PM

nanosensor · 发表于 2011-9-8 04:45 PM

Thanks

		自动登录	找回密码
密码			注册

[技术分析] 09/08/2011 Market Outlook (Bull Flag within Bear Flag)

评分