Goldman Sachs Predicting S&P as Low as 700 by Yearend!

sequoia

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/ch ... nd-sp-range-700-900

S&P 500 to close between 700-900 by end of 2012,

面瓜

不错，很给李

Jinan90

高盛就是试图操纵市场的狗东西：


In his weekly chart packet, Goldman's high frequency strategist, David Kostin,

who now changes his year end S&P targets almost as frequently as the firm's economic team changes its GDP forecast,




once again gets decidedly fatalistic (very much like Citigroup did yesterday, and Morgan Stanley last week), and is now openly contemplating downside cases to his EPS forecast. And with 2012 EPS numbers thrown around like $91 based on what is certainly an upcoming (but for now still hypothetical) margin contraction, $82 based on a 2% drop (almost guaranteed) in GDP Y/Y, and $75 based on historical earnings plunges in a recession, it may be time to listen up, because apply a traditional contractionary multiple of about 9-10x, and you have yourself a tidy little range of 700 - 910 on the S&P in about a year, absent yet another round of fiscal and/or monetary stimulus.

jdad4

回复 sequoia 的帖子

after big BEN implying QE3 they will change S&P BACK as high as 2000 by yearend!

Diver

sequoia 发表于 2011-8-21 09:02
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/charting-upcoming-recession-and-goldman-really-predicting-2012-year-en ...

基本上可以当狗剩的预测是放P。因为我还记忆犹新在不久前狗剩刚刚预测过今年年底前目标是SPX1520。

ByStander

Diver 发表于 2011-8-21 12:58
基本上可以当狗剩的预测是放P。因为我还记忆犹新在不久前狗剩刚刚预测过今年年底前目标是SPX1520。

Diver

pdz 发表于 2011-8-21 13:23
end of 2012, not end of 2011.  真要这样也还有一年多，没什么可怕的

还是老大你眼尖！

那就是说，狗剩认为会先上后下。这个观点我认同。