05/19/2011 Market Outlook (Symmetrical Triangle)

Cobra · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:23 PM

SHORT-TERM: CLUELESS

方向不明，看明天吧。大涨我就牛，下跌则继续熊。

SPY intraday看起来是整了个Symmetrical Triangle，因此可能明天早盘还有一冲。这一冲的幅度可能不会很大，因为QQQ看起来已经完成了3 push up，可能已经在2 leg down的途中了。

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX NOW IN 1352 TO 1381 WAVE 5 PRICE TARGET AREA, WATCH FOR POTENTIAL REVERSAL

Maintain what I said in 05/06 Market Outlook. Need pay attention to the possibility that wave 5 ends while primary wave 3 sharply down has started. Still just an attention, not even a warning though.

SEASONALITY: BULLISH MONDAY, BEARISH FRIDAY

According to Stock Trader’s Almanac:

Monday before May expiration, Dow up 19 of last 22, average gain 0.6%.
May expiration day, Dow down 12 of last 20, average loss 0.2%.

For May seasonality day by day please refer 04/29 Market Outlook.

ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:

09/27 Market Recap: 9 POMO within 20 trading days means 14%+ up in 3 months.
03/11 Market Recap: Bullish in 3 to 6 months.
04/21 Market Recap: QQQ weekly Bullish Engulfing is bullish for the next 6 weeks.

ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:

04/21 Market Recap: SPX will close below 04/20 close soon.
05/06 Market Outlook: Bearish in 2 weeks.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:

	TREND	COMMENT
QQQ & Weekly	UP
IWM & Weekly	UP
SSEC & Weekly	DOWN
EEM & Weekly	DOWN
XIU & Weekly	DOWN
TLT & Weekly	UP
UUP & Weekly	DOWN
GLD & Weekly	UP
GDX & Weekly	DOWN
USO & Weekly	DOWN
XLE & Weekly	DOWN
XLF & Weekly	DOWN
IYR & Weekly	UP
XLB & Weekly	DOWN

* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

当时惘然 · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:26 PM

thank you

当时惘然 · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:27 PM

usamonkey · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:29 PM

viewer · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:33 PM

本帖最后由 viewer 于 2011-5-19 19:35 编辑

Thanks!

我是谁 · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:34 PM

wow老蛇变快手。。。谢谢
那就是说，OE day，在135，扭扭大半天，突然跳水奔134，到底收134 还是135我就不知道了

pigking · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:34 PM

本帖最后由 pigking 于 2011-5-19 18:35 编辑

我坐的才是

，上面的都不算，
哈哈，又是在大本后面

maldini · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:34 PM

有可能猪市几个月吗？

viewer · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:34 PM

Tomorrow OE, most likely a cross.

我是谁 · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:37 PM

pigking 发表于 2011-5-19 19:34
我坐的才是，上面的都不算，
哈哈，又是在大本后面

stalker。。。

HTER · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:40 PM

cartier · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:40 PM

michaelzhang · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:41 PM

nanosensor · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:42 PM

Thanks

jpm · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:44 PM

PacificLegend · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:52 PM

skipjack · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:53 PM

acoust · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:54 PM

First page!

ahdou · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:55 PM

Billyboy · 发表于 2011-5-19 06:56 PM

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[技术分析] 05/19/2011 Market Outlook (Symmetrical Triangle)

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