05/10/2011 Market Outlook (NATV to NYTV ratio surges again)

Cobra · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:00 PM

SHORT-TERM: IN WAIT AND SEE MODE

今天没有结论，要看后天。因为，明天多半会涨，至少上半场，而明天如果涨的话，后天跌的可能性很大，问题是，跌多少？所以，看后天吧。

目前说熊熊完蛋了还早，因为在decisively breakout 05/02 high之前，还不能排除目前的反弹是retest of the previous high before rollover的可能，特别是今天0.2.4 Nasdaq Total Volume/NYSE Total Volume又喊顶。老读者都知道，这是个相当可靠的信号，因此下面是牛是熊现在还不好说。

看一下0.2.4 Nasdaq Total Volume/NYSE Total Volume。

今天还有两个不太好的现象，提醒一下：

OEX Open Interest Ratio又new high。

ISEE Equities Only Index，今天高达271，这是说散户不是一般的牛，但是，OEX Put/Call Ratio却表明今天有大量的OEX Put成交。这个非常可疑。

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX NOW IN 1352 TO 1381 WAVE 5 PRICE TARGET AREA, WATCH FOR POTENTIAL REVERSAL

See 05/06 Market Outlook for more details.

SEASONALITY: BULLISH MONDAY

According to Stock Trader’s Almanac, Monday after Mother’s Day, Dow up 12 of last 15.

For May seasonality day by day please refer 04/29 Market Outlook.

ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:

09/27 Market Recap: 9 POMO within 20 trading days means 14%+ up in 3 months.
03/11 Market Recap: Bullish in 3 to 6 months.
04/21 Market Recap: QQQ weekly Bullish Engulfing is bullish for the next 6 weeks.

ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:

04/21 Market Recap: SPX will close below 04/20 close soon.
~~05/04 Market Outlook: At least a short-term top could have been in.~~
05/05 Market Outlook: No –1,000 TICK on almost 1% down day, so 05/05 low will be taken soon.
05/06 Market Outlook: Bearish in 2 weeks.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:

	TREND	COMMENT
QQQ & Weekly	UP
IWM & Weekly	UP	Weekly Bearish Engulfing, be careful!
SSEC & Weekly	DOWN
EEM & Weekly	UP
XIU & Weekly	DOWN
TLT & Weekly	UP
FXE & Weekly	UP	3.1.1 UUP Daily: Testing downtrend line.
GLD & Weekly	UP
GDX & Weekly	DOWN
USO & Weekly	DOWN	Too much damage done, so more down ahead.
XLE & Weekly	DOWN
XLF & Weekly	DOWN	Confirmed Bear Flag breakdown, be careful.
IYR & Weekly	UP
XLB & Weekly	UP

* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

darren168 · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:00 PM

本帖最后由 darren168 于 2011-5-10 21:01 编辑

1st
Thanks.

leftright · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:02 PM

fara · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:03 PM

fara · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:03 PM

当时惘然 · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:03 PM

leftright · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:04 PM

fara · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:04 PM

cartier · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:04 PM

rosyrosy · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:06 PM

navybean · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:07 PM

Thanks

usamonkey · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:10 PM

maldini · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:12 PM

lilitulip · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:15 PM

thank you

frogguru · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:15 PM

gummykitty · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:18 PM

1st page?

aimei · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:20 PM

Xie laoda's hard working
To sell some tomorrow if there are any profits

jinr · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:23 PM

2001ht09 · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:24 PM

cc2265 · 发表于 2011-5-10 08:27 PM

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[技术分析] 05/10/2011 Market Outlook (NATV to NYTV ratio surges again)

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