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SHORT-TERM: MAYBE TOPPED ON 05/02
三点说明：
- 还没有跌完。
- 还是觉得米纸至少会有短期反弹，这其实也是我认为大盘还没有跌完的主要理由之一。
- 操作上，我会优先考虑sell bounce，不过会half positioned，毕竟现在officially，中期还是上升趋势。
还没有跌完的理由其实昨天都说了。
- SPX连跌三天，至少意味着今天的close不是the lowest close。
- CPCE 3 points validated trend line，昨天破了，今天又hold，confirm top was in了。
- 今天还有个不好的消息就是 OEX Open Interest Ratio又high了。
为什么觉得米纸至少会有短期反弹？
- UUP volume继续surge，今天的空心红棒棒看着也有反转的意思。
- FXE离MA(200)太远了。这个地球上的任何东西都是无法摆脱重力的影响的，所以过于远离某个均线可以说是最可靠的信号了。
- 广大人民群众对米纸绝望的程度几乎是在历史最低点了。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX NOW IN 1352 TO 1381 WAVE 5 PRICE TARGET AREA, WATCH FOR POTENTIAL REVERSAL
See 04/27 Market Outlook for more details.
SEASONALITY: BULLISH MONDAY AND FRIDAY
See 04/29 Market Outlook for more details. For May seasonality day by day also see 04/29 Market Outlook.
ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:
ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:
- 04/21 Market Recap: SPX will close below 04/20 close soon.
- 05/04 Market Outlook: At least a short-term top could have been in.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:
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- * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
- DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.
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狗仔卡
发表于 2011-5-4 07:07 PM
提升卡
置顶卡
沉默卡
喧嚣卡
变色卡
发表于 2011-5-4 07:09 PM
