04/27/2011 Trading Signals

Cobra

THE BOTTOM LINE, THE SHORT-TERM TREND IS UP, I HOLD LONG POSITION OVERNIGHT.

Although the T2122 I mentioned last night didn’t break above its 04/06 high (surprisingly enough, it dropped actually) but I have some other evidences arguing for a red day tomorrow which I’ll present in tonight’s report. For now the setup is to short on the 3rd last trading day of the month and cover on the last trading day of the month. Be careful, however, The setup failed twice recently though.

The Non-Stop Model is in buy mode now. I’ve mentioned several times before that the buy or sell signal from the model had only 50% winning rate. The model, likes other trend following systems, relies heavily on one long lasting trend to earn money. So again, a buy signal from Non-Stop Model doesn’t necessarily mean the market will be up.

Cobra Impulse System is a little tricky here. New high and close in green tomorrow would make the system go into buy mode and open its very first long position; but, on the other hand, breakdown below today’s low and close in red would make the system go short again.

INDICATORS AND MECHANICAL TRADING SIGNALS

TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT Long-term 2 of 2 BUY Intermediate 3 of 5 *BUY 5 of 5 NEUTRAL Cobra Impulse in SELL mode; Non-Stop in *BUY mode. Short-term 5 of 6 NEUTRAL SPY SYSTEM ENTRY STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: back test is HERE, signals are HERE. Non-Stop 04/15 S N/A *Close short and open long tomorrow. CI Buy & Hold 04/18 S N/A *Close short and open long if new high and green tomorrow. CI Swing *Long if new high and green tomorrow. The stop loss will be 1.7*ATR(10); Short if break below 04/27 low and red tomorrow, the stop loss will be 2*ATR(10). OTHER ETFS TREND CANDLESTICK COMMENT QQQ & Weekly UP IWM & Weekly UP SSEC & Weekly UP More weakness would mean downtrend, be careful. EEM & Weekly UP *Doji  XIU & Weekly DOWN *Hanging Man May see further pullback. TLT & Weekly UP FXE & Weekly UP GLD & Weekly UP GDX & Weekly UP USO & Weekly UP XLE & Weekly UP *Hanging Man XLF & Weekly DOWN Bear Flag? IYR & Weekly UP XLB & Weekly UP *Hanging Man  DBA & Weekly DOWN *Doji Could see more pullbacks.

* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list. UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered. DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

DEMO ACCOUNT FOR SHORT-TERM MODEL

TICKER Entry Date Entry Share Stop Loss Exit Date Exit Profit Comment SSO 04/27/2011 $55.22 100 $53.69 04/27/2011 $55.70 48.00   SSO 04/25/2011 $53.99 100 $52.02 04/25/2011 $54.07 8.00   SSO 04/20/2011 $53.62 100 *$53.69 New strategy, always hold. SDS 04/19/2011 $21.54 200 $20.95 04/20/2011 $20.72 -174.00   SDS 04/14/2011 $21.24 100 $20.95 04/20/2011 $20.72 -52.00   SDS 04/13/2011 $21.19 300 $20.62 04/18/2011 $21.54 105.00   SDS 04/12/2011 $21.30 200 $20.45 04/13/2011 $21.40 20.00   SSO 04/11/2011 $53.16 100 $51.38 04/18/2011 $51.37 -179.00   SDS 04/11/2011 $20.93 200 $20.45 04/12/2011 $21.34 82.00   SSO 04/08/2011 $53.47 100 $51.57 04/11/2011 $53.58 11.00   SDS 04/07/2011 $20.71 400 $20.46 04/08/2011 $20.86 60.00 1st short, half positioned. SSO 04/07/2011 $54.35 100 $53.09 04/08/2011 $54.36 1.00   SSO 04/06/2011 $53.93 200 $53.09 04/06/2011 $54.13 40.00   SSO 04/04/2011 $53.74 100 $53.09 04/08/2011 $54.00 26.00   SSO 04/01/2011 $54.00 100 $51.57 04/05/2011 $54.18 18.00   SSO 03/28/2011 $52.02 100 $49.91 04/01/2011 $54.09 207.00   LAST 1158.00   SUM 1379.00

$200 max loss allowed per trade. For fun only. LAST = Year to the last month balance.

jamesmith

sofa

jamesmith

bandeng

jamesmith

floor 老大~~
什么叫速度，什么叫身手敏捷~~

永恒罗马

风之语

jcs

yask

Thanks!

MtlJaysFan

thx

navybean

Thanks

maldini

Cobra 发表于 2011-4-27 17:27
THE BOTTOM LINE, THE SHORT-TERM TREND IS UP, I HOLD LONG POSITION OVERNIGHT.

Although the T2122  ...

我今天看了两个空的理由
一个是60min上的wedge
另一个是BB连续两天收在BB上岩之上过去一年以来接下来似乎都是red

Ed02

3x

shcece

huiwangren

沉默是金

  

Cobra

maldini 发表于 2011-4-27 17:40
我今天看了两个空的理由
一个是60min上的wedge
另一个是BB连续两天收在BB上岩之上过去一年 ...

good, very good, 虽然wedge不是理由，但是你看看QQQ 60 min，是个典型的3 push up。至于你说的BB，统计是说70%的机率明天红。

当时惘然

netfire

aimei

greenback