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发表于 2011-3-16 09:44 PM
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WORST CASE #1
A scenario in which molten reactor materials -uranium--"perfectly" wraps around a pool of water, causing a super-heated explosion of steam launching radioactive materials in a massive blast is the "worst" case scenario, but what are the odds of this perfectly happening, perfectly wrong? Very small is the general consensus and I believe that one. Maybe in the range of 1%, NOT 10%.
WORST CASE #2A
What about a 5000 degF mass of molten reactor materials (let's just say uranium, although stuff morphs into other stuff that can be worse) melting it's way through a damaged concrete floor, into a pocket of water or sea water below the plant, or rolling right into the ocean? Purely conjecture, but these are the mostly likely worst case scenarios IMHO.
WORST CASE #2B
And the Chernobyl type scenario, direct fire on the nuclear materials or, even worse, on the "used" nuclear waste that was being stored at reactors 4, 5, AND 6. Prior to last night, we never even heard of 5 or 6, now we find that rather than store the waste materials underneath a big mountain like in western united states, that they decided last fall to store all the old materials in the facilities next to the working nuclear plants, on the ocean, on the ring of fire. |
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