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Cycle vs. Seasonality

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发表于 2010-11-14 02:06 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


两个置顶贴。

should be interesting. One of them will be wrong next week.
发表于 2010-11-14 02:36 AM | 显示全部楼层
Actually, it's possible for both to be right. The chart used in the cycle analysis is slightly misleading. It doesn't include last week's price actions. If you look at the cycle chart carefully, the cycle could start from high to high (with prices trending lower subsequently), high to low (with price trending higher subsequently), low to high (with price trending lower subsequently) or low to low (with price trending higher subsequently). Given the dip we have had last week, the full S&P price chart is already dipping down. It is possible that the cycle ends on a low and we will see higher prices to come under both cycle analysis and seasonalities.
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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 楼主| 发表于 2010-11-14 02:48 AM | 显示全部楼层
I don't trust them, it's for fun only.
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-11-14 03:15 AM | 显示全部楼层
market will tell us
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2010-11-15 09:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
could have another 70 days up cycle again
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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